The daily reports for important events that affects the forex, stocks and commodities markets.

26/08/2024 Daily Reports

Oil Prices Surge on Middle East Tensions and U.S. Rate Cut Hopes

On Monday, oil prices continued to rise due to concerns that escalating violence from the Gaza conflict might impact oil supplies in the Middle East. Additionally, anticipated cuts in U.S. interest rates improved global economic prospects and increased expectations for fuel demand.

In one of the most significant confrontations in over 10 months of border conflict, Hezbollah launched hundreds of rockets and drones into Israel on Sunday. In response, the Israeli military reported using about 100 aircraft to strike Lebanon in an effort to prevent a larger assault.

On Friday, both oil benchmarks rose by over 2% following comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who supported the imminent initiation of interest rate cuts. ANZ analysts noted that the anticipated easing of monetary policy improved market sentiment across various commodities. They also expect the Fed to carry out a gradual series of rate reductions.

Despite the recent rise, oil prices declined last week due to a weak economic outlook for major economies, which dampened fuel demand, according to the bank. Additionally, oil traders are wary of the decisions made by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, known as OPEC+, which is expected to increase production later this year, noted Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

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Asian stocks showed mixed performance on Monday following a rally in U.S. markets, driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve will soon cut interest rates. This shift comes after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated on Friday that it might be time to lower rates from their current high, citing a cooling job market and easing inflation.

In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 1.1% due to a stronger yen, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 1.0%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones both climbed 1.1% on Friday, nearing their record highs. Powell’s dovish stance suggests a potential shift in the Fed’s policy, though the pace and timing of any rate cuts will depend on economic data and risks ahead.

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Asian Stocks Rally as Fed’s Dovish Signal Boosts Market Sentiment, Yen Strengthens

Asian stocks advanced for the third consecutive session, with markets in Australia and Hong Kong leading gains after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted at upcoming interest rate cuts during his Jackson Hole speech.

The yen surged to a three-week high, driven by expectations of lower US borrowing costs, while Japanese stocks declined due to the stronger currency.
Investors are increasingly positioning for a “risk-on” environment, with global equities nearing all-time highs and sovereign debt gaining favor.

Meanwhile, oil prices rose amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, and the Bloomberg Asia Dollar Index hit its highest level since January. In China, the PBOC maintained its one-year policy loan rate, reflecting a cautious approach to economic support