Investor Michael Burry, best known for predicting the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis, amplified fresh concerns about artificial intelligence by sharing a speculative research note outlining a potential economic downturn driven by agentic AI. The Substack report, titled The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis and published by Citrini Research in collaboration with Alap Shah of Littlebird, presents a forward-dated scenario in which enthusiasm for AI ultimately turns destabilizing. The thought experiment imagines unemployment rising to 10.2% by mid-2028, while the S&P 500 falls 38% from its October 2026 peak. Burry reposted the analysis on X with the remark, “And you think I’m bearish,” reinforcing his long-standing skepticism about an AI-driven asset bubble.
The report argues that widespread automation of white-collar roles could initially boost corporate margins and equity valuations, but eventually erode wage growth and consumer demand. It envisions a negative feedback loop marked by declining hiring, weaker consumption, falling bond yields, and stress in private credit and housing markets, potentially tipping the economy into recession by 2027. While the authors stress that the scenario is hypothetical and that adverse dynamics have not yet begun, they warn of structural risks if human labor displacement accelerates. The commentary comes as U.S. equities pull back and AI-linked stocks remain near historic highs.
- The “Trump Tariff” Confusion: With the Supreme Court striking down reciprocal tariffs, the administration’s pivot to a 15% global levy has left markets in a state of flux. Uncertainty is Gold’s best friend.
- Middle East Tensions: The US has amassed its largest military force in the region since 2003. As nuclear talks resume in Geneva, Trump’s “diplomacy or else” stance is keeping the geopolitical risk premium high.
- The $5,000 Floor: After January’s historic rout from record highs of $5,595, Gold has reclaimed the $5,000/oz mark, recovering more than half of its recent losses.
- Wall Street is Still Bullish: Despite the “choppy” trading, giants like Goldman Sachs, UBS, and Deutsche Bank are forecasting a recovery. UBS even sees a path to $6,200/oz in the coming months!
- Headwinds Remain: Firm real rates and a steady US Dollar are capping aggressive gains for now. Experts suggest we might see consolidation before the next decisive breakout.

CDO TRADER
CDO TRADER, our cutting-edge trading platform, follows the technology from the forefront with new features added continuously. Moreover, CDO TRADER is now available for Android and iOS! So it allows you to trade on the go!
- Global markets are navigating renewed trade tensions, AI-driven tech volatility, and escalating geopolitical risks. In the U.S., the Nasdaq Composite is slipping amid an AI-led sell-off and uncertainty over trade policy. After the Supreme Court of the United States struck down reciprocal tariffs, President Donald Trump threatened a new 15% global levy, reviving concerns over global supply chains and corporate margins. Investors are also bracing for upcoming earnings from Nvidia, a key bellwether for AI sentiment.
- In Europe, Germany’s DAX is trading lower as renewed U.S. tariff threats pressure export-sensitive sectors. By contrast, Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.87% to around 57,620, diverging from Western peers. Strong institutional flows and domestic initiatives aimed at attracting foreign direct investment continue to underpin Japanese equities.
- In commodities, Brent crude is hovering near a six-month high between $71.50 and $72.00 per barrel. Prices are driven by escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and fears of supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, with nuclear talks set to resume and Washington warning of severe consequences if negotiations fail.
- Precious metals are benefiting from risk aversion. Gold has surged past $5,100 per ounce on strong safe-haven inflows amid tariff uncertainty and Middle East tensions. Silver, trading around $87–$88 per ounce, is stabilizing as Chinese markets reopen, tracking gold’s rally while balancing potential industrial demand headwinds from new U.S. tariffs.


