• Futures Edge Higher on Rate Cut Expectations
Stock futures are rising modestly as traders boost bets on a September Fed rate cut, following weaker-than-expected job data. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures gained around 0.6 to 0.7 percent.
• Labor Market Weakness Fuels Fed Speculation
July’s nonfarm payrolls came in at 73,000, far below expectations. Unemployment rose to 4.2 percent, and wage growth slowed to 3.9 percent annually. ISM Manufacturing Index slipped to 48, showing contraction for the third month.
• Big Movers From Friday
Amazon fell 8 percent after issuing soft Q3 guidance. Other tech names like Micron and Marvell were down 3 to 7 percent. Eastman Chemical plummeted 19 percent on earnings disappointment.
• Earnings Ahead
This week brings results from major names including AMD, Disney, Uber, Shopify, McDonald’s, and Pfizer. Analysts expect S&P 500 earnings to grow 4.5 percent year-over-year in Q2.
• Global Market Snapshot
Eurozone Sentix Index disappointed at -3.7. Japan’s Nikkei fell 1.25 percent, mainly due to financial stocks. China’s markets rebounded, led by semiconductor gains.
• Bond Market and Economic Data
The US 10-year Treasury yield is slightly higher at 4.24 percent. Today’s key release: Factory orders, expected to drop nearly 5 percent. Investors also eye comments from Fed officials and possible signals from the White House on Fed leadership.
• What’s Next?
Markets are clearly banking on lower interest rates, but last week’s jobs data signals deeper concerns about economic strength. With earnings season in full swing, any surprises from Big Tech or macro indicators could cause sharp swings. For now, rate cut optimism is leading, but it’s a fragile narrative.

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Markets Rebound, But U.S. Trust Takes a Hit
Stocks in the U.S. and Europe moved slightly higher on Monday, as traders now expect 60 basis points of Fed rate cuts by year-end—almost double what was expected before Friday’s weak jobs report. Bond yields also dropped sharply, with two-year yields down 25 bps and ten-year yields once again stuck near 4.20%.
But while markets recover, trust in U.S. institutions is being questioned. Trump fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics and may replace them with a loyal supporter. He also suggested using tariff revenue to send “Trump-branded” checks to selected Americans. Meanwhile, a U.S. court is reviewing whether his tariffs were even legal. If not, billions may need to be paid back—and the U.S.’s reputation for fairness could suffer.