Trade War 2.0? How Trump’s Tariffs Could Shake the Economy
Trump’s Feb. 1 Tariff Plan Approaches:
- 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico set to take effect
- Trump says decision on oil tariffs will be made “tonight”
- China also at risk—10% duties could be announced soon
Business & Global Leaders in ‘Wait-and-See’ Mode:
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell: Tariff impact on inflation & economic growth remains highly uncertain
- Mexico’s President Claudia Sheinbaum: “We don’t expect it will happen … but we have our plan.”
- Canada’s Prime Minister Justin Trudeau: Preparing a strong countermeasure if tariffs are imposed
- Economists warn: Full tariffs could push Canada & Mexico into recession
Market & Economic Reactions:
- Stock market volatility increasing as investors react to trade uncertainty
- Business spending slowing—companies hesitant to invest amid unpredictable policies
Global Trade Tensions Escalate:
- Trump threatens BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) with 100% tariffs if they move away from the US dollar
- Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent proposed a more gradual approach—starting tariffs at 2.5%—but Trump rejected the idea
- Commerce Secretary nominee Howard Lutnick hinted that Mexico could avoid tariffs if it takes strong action on migration and fentanyl trafficking
What’s Next?
- Trump’s aggressive trade stance is sending shockwaves through financial markets and global economies.
- While some see tariffs as a bargaining tool, their potential impact on inflation, supply chains, and economic growth shouldn’t be underestimated.
- If tariffs go into full effect, expect market volatility, higher consumer prices, and possible retaliatory measures from key trade partners.
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US & European Futures Rise on Strong Tech Earnings; Markets Brace for Trump Tariffs
- US and European stock futures advanced as strong earnings from Apple and Intel lifted investor sentiment.
- Euro Stoxx 50, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed, while the dollar strengthened ahead of President Trump’s expected tariff announcement on Saturday.
- Tech stocks remained in focus, with Nvidia rebounding despite ongoing AI stock volatility.
- Asian markets saw mixed movement, with Samsung and SK Hynix sliding due to semiconductor concerns.
- Meanwhile, oil prices surged on fears that US tariffs could impact Canadian crude imports, and gold remained near record highs.
- Investors continue to weigh economic uncertainty, inflation trends, and shifting trade policies.