Gold paused its record-breaking rally on Friday but remained on track for its strongest quarterly performance since 2016, driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cut. Spot gold was slightly down at $2,666.50 per ounce, just below the previous session’s all-time high, while U.S. gold futures also dipped. Despite these small declines, gold has surged 29% this year, benefiting from both the Fed’s half-percentage-point cut and stimulus measures from China.
Silver followed gold’s upward trend, hitting its highest price since 2012 before easing slightly to $31.98 per ounce. Silver is set for its third consecutive week of gains, though analysts caution that the rally may lose steam. While gold and silver are both considered safe-haven assets, silver’s industrial demand ties it more closely to global economic conditions, particularly in China. As economies expand, silver tends to outperform gold, though it typically follows gold’s price movements.
Canada’s Economy Grows in July, but Slows in August, Sparking Rate Cut Speculation
Canada’s economy grew by 0.2% in July, surpassing expectations, with retail trade and public sectors driving growth, despite disruptions from wildfires. However, preliminary data suggests the economy stalled in August, with gains in oil and gas extraction offset by declines in manufacturing and transportation. If growth remains flat in September, the economy is on track for just 1% annualized growth in Q3, below the Bank of Canada’s 2.8% forecast. This has fueled speculation of a larger rate cut in October, with markets pricing a 50% chance of a 50 basis-point reduction.
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