13/03/2026 Daily Reports
U.S. stock futures edged slightly higher after steep losses in the previous session, as investors looked ahead to another crucial inflation reading. The market’s focus is on the January PCE price index, closely monitored by the Federal Reserve as its preferred gauge of inflation. Additional economic data due include a revision to fourth-quarter U.S. GDP and fresh consumer confidence figures, which may offer further clues about the strength of the economy. In Thursday’s trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.56%, the S&P 500 fell 1.52%, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 1.78%, with all three indexes closing at their lowest levels since November.
Energy markets and geopolitics remain the main drivers of volatility. Oil prices jumped after Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, vowed to keep the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed. Escalating attacks on shipping, alongside ongoing U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, have heightened fears of a prolonged disruption to global energy flows. The spike in oil has weighed on risk sentiment across sectors such as industrials, consumer discretionary, and healthcare, reinforcing concerns that higher energy costs could complicate the inflation outlook.
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- On March 13, global markets experienced sharp volatility as rising energy prices and escalating geopolitical tensions put pressure on stocks worldwide. In the U.S., the Nasdaq fell during Thursday’s session as investors worried that rising fuel costs could accelerate inflation and that technology companies’ and artificial intelligence infrastructure development activities could significantly increase operating expenses.
- European markets also turned lower. Germany’s DAX index fell by approximately 1% in early trading, reflecting heightened risk-aversion driven by the intensifying Middle East conflict and the energy shock hitting the region.
- In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 index fell by 1.2%, reflecting the general weakness in Asian stocks. Investors remain concerned that disruptions in global crude oil and natural gas supplies could destabilize economic growth and fuel inflation in major economies.
- Energy markets remain at the epicenter of the turmoil. As the Iran-Israel conflict escalated with attacks on regional energy infrastructure and Iran’s statement that the Strait of Hormuz would remain closed, Brent crude oil rose above $100 per barrel and briefly reached $102.75. Despite coordinated efforts by the International Energy Agency and the U.S. to release 400 million barrels of oil from strategic reserves to stabilize global oil markets, prices remained at high levels.
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- Dollar Extends Monthly Highs
The US dollar continues to strengthen as markets struggle to see a clear path out of the escalating Middle East crisis. - Energy Shock Driving FX Markets
Despite global efforts to stabilize energy markets — including a 400 million barrel release from IEA reserves — oil prices remain elevated with Brent holding above $100 per barrel.
Inflation Data Could Strengthen the Dollar Further
- Core PCE Inflation Expected to Rise
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, Core PCE, is projected to increase to 3.1% year-on-year. - Fed Rate Cuts Becoming Less Likely
Inflation drifting away from the Fed’s 2% target reduces the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts in 2026. - Markets Await Next FOMC Signals
Investors are preparing for further guidance at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, which could reinforce the current hawkish repricing.
EUR: Pressure Builds Below 1.1500
- EUR/USD Breaks Key Support
The pair has slipped below 1.1500, a critical technical level. - Limited Support Ahead
If selling continues, the next support zone lies around 1.1390–1.1400, last seen in August. - Rising Fiscal Concerns in Europe
Higher energy prices may force governments to support households, potentially widening sovereign spreads across the eurozone.
JPY: Intervention Risk Increasing
- USD/JPY Enters Intervention Territory
The pair is approaching levels where Japanese authorities may intervene in FX markets.
- Dollar Extends Monthly Highs
