The Federal Reserve delivered its third consecutive rate cut yesterday, but the reaction in global markets has been a “tale of two cities.” While Wall Street celebrated, Asia-Pacific markets couldn’t hold onto their early optimism.
The “Hat-Trick” is Complete: As expected, the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points (bringing the target to 3.5%-3.75%). However, Chair Powell signaled a pause, stating the Fed is now “well-positioned to wait and see,” effectively pumping the brakes on future aggressive cuts.
Asia Reverses Course: Despite a strong lead from the US (where the Dow jumped 1.1%), Asian markets gave up early gains to close mostly lower. Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped nearly 1%, and South Korea’s Kospi dipped, reflecting caution over the Fed’s “wait and see” stance.
The “Stealth” Liquidity Boost: Beyond the rate cut, the Fed announced it would resume buying $40 billion in Treasury bills starting Friday. This is a significant move to inject liquidity and support market functioning, which helped push short-term yields lower.
The Tariff Warning: Jerome Powell explicitly noted that President Trump’s tariffs have fueled inflation. This comment likely weighed on Asian markets, which are sensitive to US trade policy and inflation shocks.
Dollar Dives: The US Dollar Index fell to its weakest level since October, reacting to the combination of the rate cut and the new balance sheet expansion.

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The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a third straight 25 bp rate cut to 3.50–3.75% in a divided decision, and markets are still digesting the shift. After a strong rally in U.S. equities yesterday, Nasdaq 100 futures are down about 0.8% today, with sentiment hit by a sharp post-earnings drop in Oracle that is weighing on global tech shares.
In Europe, the DAX is modestly lower as investors balance relief from the Fed’s easing against renewed concern over stretched tech valuations. SAP is under pressure following Oracle’s guidance, dragging the broader European tech space, while utilities are softer as Naturgy falls after BlackRock sold a 7.1% stake.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 is down roughly 0.9%, trading around 50,100–50,500, with chip and AI-linked stocks retreating as Oracle’s warning reverberates through global technology names and saps risk appetite in Tokyo.
In commodities, U.S. natural gas futures are around $4.49 per MMBtu, down about 2.2% on the day and trading below a former support zone near $4.75 after giving back part of this month’s earlier rally.
Brent crude hovers near $61–62 per barrel, about 1.2% lower, even as the IEA projects a roughly 830 kb/d rise in 2025 oil demand and notes a recent 610 kb/d drop in global supply amid disruptions. Tensions are being monitored after the U.S. intercepted a sanctioned Venezuelan oil tanker.


