25/06/2026 Daily Reports
Nasdaq
The Nasdaq Composite retreated 0.43 percent to close at 25,476.64, pressured by a broad selloff in technology and semiconductor equities over high valuation concerns. Sentiment was particularly dampened by OpenAI’s announcement of a new in-house inference chip and Cerebras Systems plunging nearly 20 percent following a weak profit margin forecast. Investors also closely monitored Micron Technology’s post-market earnings, while healthcare firm Aditxt faced an immediate trading suspension and delisting due to ongoing minimum bid price and equity compliance failures.
DAX
Germany’s DAX 40 index faced significant downward pressure, extending recent losses amid a global tech retreat and disappointing domestic economic data. German manufacturing and services PMI figures both missed market forecasts, indicating a continued contraction that casts doubt on a swift industrial recovery. The defense sector recorded severe losses, with Rheinmetall shares plunging over 17 percent after the German government abruptly scrapped plans for its largest warship project in favor of acquiring a fleet of smaller frigates.
Nikkei
Japan’s Nikkei 225 index rebounded strongly in early Thursday trading, surging 2.7 percent to cross the 71,080 level. The sharp recovery was directly driven by aggressive dip-buying following two consecutive sessions of notable losses earlier in the week. This renewed upward momentum was heavily concentrated in the domestic semiconductor and technology sectors, with major industry players such as Kokusai Electric, Advantest, and Rohm posting impressive share price gains ranging from 7.7 to 9.5 percent.
Brent Crude Oil
Brent crude oil futures fell more than 1 percent to hit a low of $72.44 per barrel, officially dropping below their pre-war closing levels for the first time since the Middle East conflict escalated. This significant price decline reflects growing market optimism surrounding the advancing United States-Iran peace negotiations. With commercial tankers successfully resuming steady transit through the Strait of Hormuz and diplomatic tensions easing, the extensive geopolitical risk premium has rapidly dissolved from the global energy market.
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- Hawkish Swap Curve Shift: The swap curve is undergoing a hawkish repricing. Market participants are keeping a close eye on upcoming Fedspeak, particularly from dovish-leaning members like Bowman and Williams, who may push back against aggressive market expectations regarding rate cuts.
- AI Sentiment Driving EUR/USD: The Euro is beginning to stabilize following a prolonged sell-off. Interestingly, AI-related market sentiment has become the primary driver for EUR/USD. A broader stabilization in equities could slowly push the pair back toward the 1.140 level.
- Mixed Signals in Europe: While Tuesday brought poor PMI data, yesterday’s stronger-than-expected German IFO print offered a counterbalance. However, markets are gradually scaling back expectations for ECB easing, influenced by the global equity turmoil and recent ECB speakers adopting a more hawkish tone compared to President Lagarde.
- The 1.130 Baseline: The fundamental outlook suggests that EUR/USD will hold its ground and not break below the 1.130 support, though this is heavily contingent on global risk sentiment remaining stable.
