31/03/2026 Daily Reports
? Oil prices pulled back below 102 dollars despite earlier gains after reports the US may end the war without reopening the Strait of Hormuz
? Trump is reportedly willing to conclude the conflict even if the key oil route remains largely closed
? Iran continues attacking tankers, including a Kuwaiti vessel, raising risks of supply disruption and environmental damage
? Around 10 to 12 million barrels per day are still effectively missing from global markets
? The conflict has pushed oil up than 50 percent March, increasing inflation concerns
? Houthi involvement threatens alternative routes Red Sea shipments, adding further pressure
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- Global markets remain volatile as an unprecedented surge in oil prices reshapes risk sentiment. In the U.S., the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.73%, leaving the index down 13.4% from its January peak and firmly in correction territory. Futures continued to edge lower, reflecting persistent pressure on tech stocks. Investor sentiment remains fragile amid geopolitical risks, although Nasdaq’s upcoming index methodology changes (effective May 2026) signal structural adjustments in the background.
- In Europe, the DAX showed relative resilience, rising 1.18% and snapping a two-day losing streak. However, the broader trend remains negative, with the index down over 10% for March and nearly 8% year-to-date, highlighting the impact of global volatility and energy-driven uncertainty.
- Asia continues to bear the brunt of the selloff. Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped marking a fourth straight decline and extending losses after a highly volatile prior session. Heavy selling in semiconductor stocks such as Advantest and Kioxia underscores the pressure on growth sectors. Meanwhile, the yen’s sharp depreciation past 160 per dollar has raised the probability of official intervention, adding another layer of instability.
- In commodities, Brent crude remains the dominant market driver, trading above $107 per barrel and heading for a record monthly gain of nearly 47%—the largest increase since records began in 1988. The rally is fueled by escalating Middle East tensions, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, ongoing Houthi attacks, and direct strikes on regional energy infrastructure. Elevated oil prices continue to amplify inflation risks and weigh heavily on global equities.
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