- Global markets are regaining footing after recent volatility, with investors rotating back into equities as AI-related panic subsides. In the U.S., the Nasdaq Composite is stabilizing and drifting modestly higher, supported by easing fears around software-sector disruption. Attention is firmly on upcoming earnings from Nvidia and Salesforce, both seen as key barometers for tech sentiment. Early gains were boosted by a major partnership between Meta Platforms and Advanced Micro Devices, along with strong results from Home Depot.
- In Europe, Germany’s DAX is rebounding alongside broader regional indices, fueled by solid corporate earnings—particularly from banks such as HSBC—and strength in mining shares amid rising global metal prices.
- Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged more than 2% to a fresh record above 58,000, closing near 58,705. The rally followed strong Wall Street performance and improved regional sentiment, while speculation about imminent rate hikes from the Bank of Japan eased after the nomination of two new policymakers.
- In commodities, Brent crude climbed to around $71.10 per barrel, near a six-month high. Markets are weighing supply risks tied to U.S.–Iran nuclear talks and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, alongside concerns about how newly implemented 10% U.S. global tariffs may affect oil demand.
- Oil’s Diplomatic Gamble: Brent crude slipped ~1% as traders bet on a diplomatic breakthrough in the US-Iran talks scheduled for this Thursday. But don’t get too comfortable—US military build-up in the region is at an all-time high.
- The March Deadline: President Trump’s 10-to-15-day ultimatum for Iran points to early March. The market is pricing in a massive risk premium; without a deal, the probability of military action is “high and growing.”
- Inventory Shock: The API reported a massive 11.4 million barrel build in US crude stocks—crushing market expectations of a mere 1.9m build. If confirmed by the EIA, it will be the largest build since early 2024.
- China is Back for Copper: As Lunar New Year celebrations end, Chinese demand has pushed copper back above $13,000/t. The Yangshan premium hit a two-month high ($53/t), signaling a renewed appetite for imports.
- Cocoa Under Pressure: US cocoa has broken below $3,000/t, hitting levels not seen since April 2023. Better weather in West Africa and rising warehouse inventories are cooling the historic price surges we saw last year.
- OPEC+ Watch: The group meets on March 1. Despite a balanced market, the “noise” of broader market strength may lead to a supply increase starting in April.

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Asian equities advanced broadly following a rebound on Wall Street, as investors navigated renewed volatility around artificial intelligence stocks. Markets in South Korea, Taiwan, and Japan continued to benefit from heavy global spending on AI infrastructure, given their dominance in semiconductor and equipment manufacturing. The KOSPI has surged to fresh records, extending its strong 2026 performance, while Taiwan’s TAIEX and Japan’s Nikkei 225 have also posted solid year-to-date gains. Analysts highlight the potential for further upside in Japan, noting that domestic investors hold an estimated $2.25 trillion in foreign equities, and even modest capital repatriation could support both the Nikkei and the yen.
Attention now turns squarely to Nvidia, whose earnings report is expected to test the resilience of the AI trade. Forecasts point to robust quarterly profit and revenue growth, continuing a long streak of outperformance. Options markets imply a share-price swing of roughly ±4.8% following the results—modest relative to past moves but enormous in absolute terms given Nvidia’s massive valuation. With a market capitalization around $4.7 trillion, even small percentage shifts translate into hundreds of billions of dollars in value. Investors will also monitor European inflation data and remarks from central bank officials, though Nvidia’s results are likely to dominate sentiment in the near term.


