- The US says negotiations with Iran are ongoing, but Tehran publicly rejects talks and demands guarantees, reparations, and control over the Strait of Hormuz.
- Fighting continues across the region, with missile and drone attacks hitting Iraq, the UAE, and Bahrain, while energy infrastructure remains under threat.
- Iran is tightening control over the Strait of Hormuz, charging up to $2M per tanker, disrupting ~20% of global oil and gas flows.
- Oil prices are rising again, increasing risks of global inflation and food shortages.
- The US pushes a 15-point peace plan, but major gaps remain, making a near-term deal unlikely despite Trump’s deadline.
U.S. stock futures edged lower on Thursday as investors remained cautious amid ongoing uncertainty surrounding efforts to resolve the Iran conflict. While the White House signaled that diplomatic channels remain active, reports of a proposed framework delivered via intermediaries did little to reassure markets, as Tehran appeared reluctant to engage and instead pushed back with its own conditions, including control over key energy routes.
Despite the softer tone in futures, equities ended the previous session higher, supported by a pullback in oil prices that briefly eased inflation concerns. Still, geopolitical risks continue to cloud the outlook, keeping investors defensive. Focus now shifts to weekly jobless claims data, which may offer fresh insight into the resilience of the U.S. labor market at a time when global tensions and macro uncertainty remain elevated.

CDO TRADER
CDO TRADER, our cutting-edge trading platform, follows the technology from the forefront with new features added continuously. Moreover, CDO TRADER is now available for Android and iOS! So it allows you to trade on the go!
- Global markets weakened as geopolitical risks re-escalated, reversing earlier optimism around a potential ceasefire. In the U.S., stock futures fell around 0.6%, with technology shares continuing to face pressure amid broader risk-off sentiment and uncertainty tied to the Middle East conflict.
- European markets followed suit, with Germany’s DAX dropping 1.6% to 22,583. Losses were broad-based across tech, industrial, and financial sectors, led by declines in major names such as Siemens Energy, Rheinmetall, and Infineon, reflecting heightened sensitivity to global growth and geopolitical risks.
- In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 edged 0.27% lower, giving back earlier gains as investor caution intensified. Weakness was driven by ongoing global uncertainty, with select industrial names leading the declines.
- In contrast, energy markets moved sharply higher. Brent crude surged more than 3%, climbing above the $104–$106 range after Iran rejected a U.S. ceasefire proposal and ruled out direct negotiations. With the Strait of Hormuz effectively near closure, disruptions to global oil flows continue to drive a significant supply risk premium. Overall, fading diplomatic hopes and persistent supply concerns are keeping volatility elevated across global assets.


