21/08/2024 Evening Reports

Fed Minutes to Reveal Debate Over July Rate Cut; U.S. Oil Export Growth Slows

Fed minutes to show depth of debate over a July rate cut

While the focus is now on September for the start of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, at least some U.S. central bankers were keen to get the debate about it rolling at last month’s policy meeting.

Roughly how many were in that camp and how unified the remaining policymakers were in seeing the Fed’s Sept. 17-18 meeting as a preferred starting point for reducing borrowing costs should become clear when the minutes of the July 30-31 meeting are released on Wednesday. The central bank’s policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee ended that meeting by leaving its benchmark overnight borrowing rate in the 5.25%-5.50% range where it has been since July 2023, but officials agreed to a number of key policy statement changes that opened the door to a rate cut at their gathering next month.

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US oil export gains slow as output, global demand turn tepid

U.S. crude oil export gains should plateau in 2024 after years of strong growth, with domestic output expected to increase by the smallest amount since the pandemic at a time when global oil demand remains sluggish. Crude oil exports from U.S. ports averaged about 4.2 million barrels per day so far this year, according to U.S. government data. That was up 3.5% from a year earlier, or the lowest percentage increase since 2015, when the U.S. exported its first cargo of domestic crude oil after a 40-year federal ban on export of domestic crude ended.

 

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