13/02/2026 Daily Reports
Technology stocks came under renewed pressure after Cisco’s margin squeeze highlighted rising AI-related input costs, sparking a broader selloff across software, logistics and automation-exposed sectors. Apple dropped 5%, erasing roughly $200 billion in market value, while concerns around rapid AI-driven job disruption added to the risk-off tone. Asian equities followed Wall Street lower, with the Nikkei slipping despite strong weekly gains, as investors rotated toward defensive stocks and safe-haven assets like Treasuries.
Market direction now hinges on upcoming U.S. inflation data, which could determine whether equities rebound toward record highs or face further downside from rising yields. A softer CPI print may revive expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and stabilize risk appetite, while a hotter-than-expected report could trigger another wave of selling across rate-sensitive sectors. Meanwhile, Eurozone GDP figures are also on investors’ radar, adding another layer of macro uncertainty for global equities heading into the next trading sessions.
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USD: Searching for a Floor
- Inflation Outlook: Consensus expects headline and core CPI at 0.3% MoM and 2.5% YoY. If the numbers match, it will likely support the Fed’s “no rush to cut” stance.
- The Valuation Gap: The Greenback is currently trading at a short-term undervaluation. While this creates upside risk, traders still seem eager to “sell the rallies.”
- Safe-Haven Return: Interestingly, the recent selloff in US tech stocks actually provided support for the USD, suggesting it’s regaining its status as a defensive asset.
- Market Focus: The Fed is now watching jobs more than prices. Unless CPI misses by a mile, the labor market remains the primary driver for interest rate shifts.
EUR: Quiet and Overvalued
- Fair Value Gap: The “fair value” for EUR/USD has dropped to 1.165. At current levels, the pair looks technically overvalued, but a lack of fresh Eurozone data is keeping it afloat.
- ECB Silence: ECB members remain largely neutral. We haven’t seen any significant “dissent” or pushback against Euro strength, meaning rate expectations are staying flat for now.
- GDP Update: Q4 GDP is expected to be confirmed at 0.3% QoQ—a “non-event” for most traders.
