U.S. equities extended their Thanksgiving week rally on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq climbing about 0.8% (roughly 189 points to 23,214.69) and the S&P 500 and Dow also advancing, while the VIX declined as traders priced in a growing chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December. Recent U.S. data releases—including durable goods orders, jobless claims, regional PMIs and the Fed’s Beige Book—were absorbed without derailing the positive tone, contributing to what several outlets describe as the strongest Thanksgiving week for major indices in over a decade.
In Europe, Germany’s DAX edged higher for a fourth straight session, supported by easing geopolitical worries and the same U.S. rate-cut narrative; index gains were helped by stock-specific moves such as a more than 4% rise in Deutsche Börse after a JPMorgan upgrade and a roughly 13% jump in Puma on takeover speculation. In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 added about 1.28%, logging a third consecutive gain, with Real Estate, Banking and Textile names leading the advance, while a weaker yen in a risk-on environment helped the index push toward the 50,000 level.
Across commodities, U.S. natural gas prices were steady on the day near $4.56 per MMBtu but remain up around 18% over the past month, while Dutch TTF futures slipped roughly 2.3% as Middle East tensions eased and European gas markets showed signs of stabilization amid shifting CO₂ and power-cost dynamics. Brent crude fell about 0.5% toward $62.5–62.8 per barrel in thin holiday-week trade, pressured by expectations of a possible Russia–Ukraine ceasefire that could loosen sanctions and increase Russian supply ahead of an OPEC+ meeting where production policy is widely expected to stay unchanged. Gold, meanwhile, eased around 0.3% from a near two-week high to roughly $4,153 per ounce as investors took profits and weighed mixed Fed communications and speculation over a potentially more dovish successor to Fed Chair Powell, even as overall market expectations for a December cut remained firm.
The latest ECB minutes show that policymakers were comfortable keeping rates unchanged, reinforcing market expectations that no additional cuts are likely this year. Investors now assign only a one-in-three chance of further easing in 2026. However, a closer look suggests the possibility of future cuts is not entirely off the table. According to ING analysts, discussions within the Governing Council revealed increasingly divergent views on inflation risks, indicating that not all members share the same confidence about the path ahead.
The December meeting is shaping up to be critical, as updated economic projections will guide whether the ECB maintains its current stance. In September, the bank forecast inflation at 1.7% for 2026 and 1.9% for 2027. ING notes that if the upcoming projections fall below 1.7% for both years, the likelihood of another rate cut would rise meaningfully. Markets will therefore closely watch whether softer inflation expectations prompt the ECB to reconsider its restrictive position.

CDO TRADER
CDO TRADER, our cutting-edge trading platform, follows the technology from the forefront with new features added continuously. Moreover, CDO TRADER is now available for Android and iOS! So it allows you to trade on the go!


