26/11/2025 Daily Reports
Gold Shines as Rate Cut Bets Surge
- Price Action: Gold has climbed back to $4,165/oz, consolidating firmly above the psychological $4,000 threshold.
- Dollar Weakness: The Greenback dropped for a second session, boosting the appeal of precious metals.
- December Cut Loading: Swaps traders now see an >80% chance of a Fed rate cut next month, driven by cooling retail sales and dropping consumer confidence.
- The “Hassett” Factor: Kevin Hassett, the likely frontrunner for the next Fed Chair, is seen as a dove who shares President Trump’s preference for lower borrowing costs.
- Historic Run: Gold is up over 55% YTD, on track for its best annual performance since 1979.
- Risk Sentiment: Analysts warn that the Fed’s next move is a “Pandora’s box,” with equity and crypto sentiment remaining fragile.
- What’s Next? Gold holding above the $4,000 level indicates that the appetite for the “debasement trade” remains very strong. Posting its best annual performance since 1979 (+55%) proves that investors are pricing in not just interest rate cuts, but also systemic risks regarding global debt and fiat currencies.
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Gold Shines as Rate Cut Bets Surge
- Price Action: Gold has climbed back to $4,165/oz, consolidating firmly above the psychological $4,000 threshold.
- Dollar Weakness: The Greenback dropped for a second session, boosting the appeal of precious metals.
- December Cut Loading: Swaps traders now see an >80% chance of a Fed rate cut next month, driven by cooling retail sales and dropping consumer confidence.
- The “Hassett” Factor: Kevin Hassett, the likely frontrunner for the next Fed Chair, is seen as a dove who shares President Trump’s preference for lower borrowing costs.
- Historic Run: Gold is up over 55% YTD, on track for its best annual performance since 1979.
- Risk Sentiment: Analysts warn that the Fed’s next move is a “Pandora’s box,” with equity and crypto sentiment remaining fragile.
- What’s Next? Gold holding above the $4,000 level indicates that the appetite for the “debasement trade” remains very strong. Posting its best annual performance since 1979 (+55%) proves that investors are pricing in not just interest rate cuts, but also systemic risks regarding global debt and fiat currencies.
