Gold market bulls are targeting a new milestone of $3,000 per ounce, driven by monetary easing from major central banks and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. presidential election. Spot gold hit a record high of $2,572.81 an ounce, with expectations of $2,600 by the end of 2024 and $3,000 by mid-2025. Factors such as interest rate cuts, strong demand from exchange-traded funds, and safe-haven buying are supporting this surge.
The U.S. dollar fell to its lowest level this year against the Japanese yen, dropping 1% amid renewed speculation about a potential 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week. Media reports from the Wall Street Journal and Financial Times reignited debates over the size of the cut, shifting market expectations from a typical 25 bps reduction to a possible 50 bps move. Traders now assign a 40% chance of the larger cut, following stronger-than-expected inflation data earlier in the week.
Meanwhile, the euro gained against the dollar after the European Central Bank cut rates by 25 bps but signaled that further cuts may not follow soon. The dollar also fell against the Swiss franc and remained little changed against the British pound. Investors are now looking toward the Bank of Japan’s rate decision, where rates are expected to stay steady, although gradual hikes could come in the future.
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Wall Street traders revived expectations for a 50 basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week, spurring gains in economically sensitive stocks over tech megacaps.
The Russell 2000 Index of smaller firms surged 2%, and an equal-weighted version of the S&P 500 outperformed.
Treasury yields dropped, with a 40% chance of a half-point cut now priced in.
Markets remain focused on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming press conference, with analysts divided over the magnitude of the cut.
Despite mixed inflation data, investors remain hopeful for policy easing to support the economy.