- Dollar Weakens: DXY fell 0.2% to 101.99, retreating from an 18-month high.
- Treasury Yields Decline: US 10-year and 30-year yields fell to three-week lows, weighing on the dollar.
- Fed Expectations Shift: Cautious comments from Fed officials eased expectations of an October rate hike, despite hotter-than-expected CPI data.
- Currencies Recover: EUR/USD rose 0.6% to 1.1223, while GBP/USD gained 0.4% to 1.3250.
- Focus on US Data: PPI and retail sales figures are next in focus for clues on inflation and the Fed’s policy outlook.

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- The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.88% on 14 October after September CPI came in above forecasts. Headline inflation rose 0.6% on the month and 3.7% year-on-year, against 3.6% expected, while core CPI rose 2.6% annually versus 2.5% forecast. Futures markets raised the probability of a quarter-point Fed hike in October to 46% from 21.6% before the release. Chip stocks fell again on concerns over Chinese competition and higher yields, and Bank of America dropped 4.8% after trading revenues missed estimates.
- Germany’s benchmark closed up 0.15% on Wednesday, recovering from Tuesday’s slight decline. European technology shares were supported by upbeat results from ASML, and Infineon was among the top gainers with a 3.2% rise. Rising oil prices and caution ahead of the US inflation release limited gains.
- The Nikkei 225 closed 0.05% lower on 14 October, its fifth consecutive decline, led by Kioxia, Tokyo Electron, Mitsubishi UFJ and Mizuho. On Thursday morning, the index dropped more than 2,500 points at one stage, falling about 4%, while South Korea’s KOSPI slid more than 7% after the US selloff and concerns over AI investment. Separately, Agriculture Minister Yana resigned, and Prime Minister Takaichi said she would name a successor today.
- Spot gold fell 1.8% to $4073 per ounce on Wednesday, its third straight decline, after the CPI data increased Fed rate-hike bets. Prices rebounded in early Asian trade on Thursday, with spot gold up 1% at $4161 as the dollar index slipped 0.5%.
- December Brent fell 1.66% to $104 on Thursday after settling near $106 the previous day. A Singapore-registered vessel sank in the Strait of Hormuz after being hit by unidentified projectiles, and Houthi forces continued missile and drone attacks on Saudi targets, including an Aramco office complex. The IEA’s Octber report projected 2026 world oil demand will fall by 2.6 million barrels per day and warned that diesel constraints could persist well into next year.
Fed: U.S. inflation accelerated to 3.7% year-on-year in September, above expectations. Markets are reassessing rate-hike risks ahead of today’s PPI and retail sales data.
Equities: The Nasdaq fell 1.88% and the S&P 500 dropped 1.11%. Asia’s Kospi plunged 8%, while Japan’s Nikkei lost around 5%, led by chip and AI stocks.
Oil: Brent slipped to $104.4 and WTI to $94.1, as supply expectations offset Middle East risks.
Gold: Gold rebounded over 1% to around $4,137. Silver trades near $56.0, platinum at $1,611 and palladium at $1,108.



