The daily reports for important events that affects the forex, stocks and commodities markets.

15/08/2025 Daily Reports

Dollar Traders Eye Data Over Diplomacy
• Meeting Time: Trump–Putin summit in Alaska is scheduled for 20:30 BST / 21:30 CET. Immediate impact on markets may be limited until Monday.
• Geopolitical Stakes: The meeting could outline a draft ceasefire plan for Ukraine, but there’s a 25% chance nothing will be agreed today, which could be bullish for the dollar.
• Dollar Drivers: Despite geopolitical risks, macroeconomic data — especially yesterday’s surprising 0.9% PPI spike — remains the main force behind USD moves.
• Fed Expectations: Hawkish repricing is underway; markets still price in a September cut, but the December contract shifted from -64bp to -57bp.
• Oil as a Key Channel: Oil prices remain the main link between geopolitics and FX moves.
• Eurozone Impact: EUR is watching Alaska closely; any signs of de-escalation in Ukraine could help the euro if energy prices structurally decline.

• What’s Next?
While Alaska might grab headlines, the dollar’s real heartbeat is still the inflation data and Fed rate expectations. Geopolitics can shake the market in the short run, but sustained moves are likely to come from the macro side.
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Trump and Putin are meeting in Alaska to discuss Ukraine. Gold prices have fallen as US wholesale inflation has increased. Intel shares have risen after reports suggested that the US government might buy some shares.

• U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are meeting in Alaska. They will discuss whether to end the war in Ukraine. Putin chose Alaska, a former Russian colony, to appeal to Trump’s love of property and to get a deal on his own terms without European leaders. Critics are worried that by not including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the summit, Putin may have a chance to talk to Trump, which is bad for Ukraine. The meeting itself was a diplomatic success for Russia, which had been isolated for years.

• In other economic news, gold prices are set to go down for the week after a important report on U.S. wholesale inflation showed an unexpected speed up in July, the biggest increase for three years. This has made traders think twice about the Federal Reserve cutting rates aggressively in September, which has led to bond yields and the dollar going up, and this has put pressure on gold prices.

• Meanwhile, Intel Corporation’s shares increased quickly after a report revealed that the Trump administration is talking to the struggling chipmaker about the U.S. government potentially buying a stake in the company. The reported investment would help Intel make more semiconductors in the US and get ahead of its competitors.