The daily reports for important events that affects the forex, stocks and commodities markets.

04/04/2025 Daily Reports

Markets in Turmoil: Trump's Tariff Tsunami Shakes Wall Street and Ripples Through Asia

Wall Street Takes a Historic Beating

  • S&P 500 dropped 4.8%, its worst single-day performance in years.
  • Nasdaq Composite plummeted 6.1%, signaling sharp stress in tech-heavy sectors.
  • Dow Jones shed 4%, reflecting broad-based pressure.
  • Russell 2000 (small-cap index) plunged 6.6%, now officially in bear territory (>20% off highs).
  • Over 80% of S&P 500 stocks closed lower — a sign of systemic fear, not isolated weakness.

Tariff Breakdown – A Global Economic Shock

  • Minimum 10% tariff on all imports
  • Up to 49% tariffs on certain developing Asian nations
  • Targeted sectors: electronics, autos, tech components, consumer goods
  • EU and China face much steeper rates, likely prompting retaliatory moves

Global Assets See Sharp Repricing

  • Gold, often a safe haven, ironically pulled back from record highs
  • Crude Oil fell below $67 amid demand concerns
  • The U.S. Dollar weakened against the yen and euro as risk-off sentiment surged
  • 10-Year Treasury Yield dropped to 4.04% from 4.20%, suggesting rising expectations of Fed rate cuts

Economic Projections from UBS

  • Tariffs could cut U.S. GDP growth by up to 2 percentage points in 2025
  • Inflation may surge to near 5%, undermining any soft-landing hopes
  • Fed now under pressure to balance rate cuts with inflation risks

What’s Next?

This move marks a dramatic re-escalation of global trade tensions at a time when both inflation and growth are delicately balanced.

Key risks to monitor:

  • Potential retaliatory tariffs from China, EU, and others
  • Impact on corporate earnings, especially multinationals
  • Supply chain disruptions and commodity price volatility
  • Possible policy shifts from the Federal Reserve
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Investors Flee to Safety Amid Tariff Turmoil as Recession Fears Rise

 

Global money market funds attracted a massive $30.26 billion in inflows during the week ending April 2, as investors responded to President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff push with a shift toward safe-haven assets.

  • Escalating trade tensions and fears of a global economic slowdown prompted significant outflows from U.S. equity funds, which lost $10.85 billion, while global equity inflows collapsed from nearly $36 billion to just $49 million.
  • Defensive sectors like utilities and precious metals saw increased interest, with gold funds marking their eighth straight week of gains. Bond funds also drew $4.3 billion in net inflows, led by short-term bond funds.
  • S&P Global warned that Trump’s sweeping tariffs exceeded expectations and may raise inflation closer to 4%, while also cutting U.S. GDP by up to 0.4 percentage points. The firm raised its 12-month recession probability from 25% to as high as 35%