Jackson Hole Watch: Three Big Issues for the Fed Chair As Fed Chair Jerome Powell prepares to speak at the annual Jackson Hole symposium, markets are watching closely. Here are the big issues on the table: Tariffs & Inflation:• Are tariffs really pushing prices higher, or are companies absorbing the costs?• CPI data shows muted […]
Dollar Traders Eye Data Over Diplomacy • Meeting Time: Trump–Putin summit in Alaska is scheduled for 20:30 BST / 21:30 CET. Immediate impact on markets may be limited until Monday.• Geopolitical Stakes: The meeting could outline a draft ceasefire plan for Ukraine, but there’s a 25% chance nothing will be agreed today, which could be […]
U.S. Futures Take a Breather Amid Wall Street Rally & Economic Data Watch • Futures Flat After Strong Week – U.S. stock index futures paused Thursday after two consecutive record-breaking sessions for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.• Labor Market Weakness Fuels Rate-Cut Bets – Softer job data has boosted expectations for a 25 bps Fed […]
The US inflation report makes it more likely that the Fed will cut interest rates. The Bank of Japan is discussing a possible change in policy to become more aggressive. India and China have re-established their economic ties after Trump put 50% tariffs on Indian goods. • A US inflation report for July that was […]
The Chinese factory has had to lay off staff and stop paying leave because of new tariffs. China is also discouraging the use of Nvidia’s H20 chips. Japan’s Nikkei has hit a record high. • China’s manufacturing sector is feeling the effects of global trade tensions. One factory owner, Mike Chai, is having to cut […]
Trump–Putin Talks Loom as Markets Brace for More Volatility Oil• Deadline Passes Without New Sanctions: Trump’s deadline for a Russia–Ukraine peace deal expired without tougher US sanctions, pushing Brent crude to its lowest level since early June.• Trump–Putin Meeting in Focus: Market watches the upcoming meeting, though quick resolution seems unlikely due to territorial disputes.• […]
Investors avoid us equities for money market as trade tensions plague the world; German arms sales to Israel suspended; TMSC records record july sales on AI demand • US investors demonstrated pure risk aversion the week leading up to the 6th of August, pulling a net $13.7 billion from US equity funds, but putting in […]
Diverging Central Bank Stories • Trump Installs a Fed DoveStephen Miran is nominated as interim FOMC member until January—aligning with Trump’s dovish stance and downplaying tariff inflation risks. Potentially open to a 50bp cut push, though short-term rate impact muted.• US Jobs Data WeakensInitial jobless claims rose to 226k, while continuing claims surged to their […]
Trump Escalates War on Renewables, Cancels Wind Projects; New 50% Tariffs on India to Cut GDP by 1%; Oil Prices Rally as Trump-Putin Summit Looms • The White House of Donald Trump is aggressively escalating its war on renewables, moving from rhetoric to real policy decisions that are placing the US wind and solar industries […]
From War to Words: How Ukraine Truce Talks Are Moving the Markets • USD Dips on Truce OptimismHopes for a Russia-Ukraine truce, reportedly brokered by President Trump, have softened the dollar as geopolitical tensions ease and oil prices fall.• EUR Gains as Peace Talks Heat UpThe euro is riding the wave of optimism, with EUR/USD […]